Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -320 GT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -8.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -6.5 (+1.5) | 142.8 (+27.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -6.3 (+1.7) | 142.3 (+27.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -6.5 (+1.5) | 142.3 (+27.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -6.2 (+1.8) | 143.5 (+26.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PITT 71 – 60 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#72) | 0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#50) | 0.29 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#53) | 0.43 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#56) | 0.496 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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