Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GT +102 PITT -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +23 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -0.4 (-23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -0.6 (-22.4) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -0.7 (-22.3) | 142.4 (+12.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -0.8 (-22.2) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -0.1 (-22.9) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PITT 71 – 60 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-9 | 8-10 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | 6.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | 0.35 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#177) | 0.48 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#168) | 0.513 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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