Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OMA +140 NDSU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -0.4 (-13.4) | 146.0 (-3.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -0.9 (-12.1) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.5 (-13.5) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.3 (-13.3) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#281) | -4.1 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#214) | -0.83 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#221) | -1.02 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#197) | 0.472 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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