In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money EWU -400 / IDHO +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +21 169 Won
Massey EWU -9.8 (+11.2) — —
Massey Totals — 146.5 (+22.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EWU -8.1 (+12.9) 148.3 (+20.7) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -9.4 (+11.6) 145.4 (+23.6) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -9.3 (+11.7) 148.6 (+20.4) 83% ✓
Baseline ML EWU -8.7 (+12.3) 150.3 (+18.7) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 IDHO 81 – 68 EWU
Mar 3, 2026 IDHO 85 – 81 EWU
Jan 3, 2026 IDHO 84 – 81 EWU
Feb 16, 2025 EWU 75 – 73 IDHO
Jan 19, 2025 IDHO 83 – 76 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDHO
Overall 23-11 10-22
Conference 16-2 4-14
Home 11-1 6-10
Away 10-7 4-11
Neutral 2-3 0-1
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 75.1 69.6
Avg Pts Against 72.0 74.4
Massey 0.4 (#166) -5.4 (#261)
Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#144) -1.84 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#152) -2.16 (#323)
RPI 0.516 (#150) 0.368 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDHO
FG% 45.5% 46.6%
3PT% 34.5% 31.5%
REB / G 36.1 29.5
OREB / G 9.4 6.4
AST / TO 0.88 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 52.8%
TOV% 22.3% 17.8%
ORB% 28.9% 20.7%
FT Rate 21.3% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.6%
DRB% 74.5% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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