Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · March 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money EWU -162 / IDHO +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual IDHO +4 166 Lost
Massey EWU -2.7 (-6.7)
Massey Totals 155.3 (+10.7)
Bradley-Terry 62%
Weighted B-T 64%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -3.2 (-7.2) 149.1 (+16.9) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.5 (-7.5) 150.1 (+15.9) 69%
Baseline ML EWU -3.2 (-7.2) 151.8 (+14.2) 71%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -2.8 (-6.8) 152.8 (+13.2) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 IDHO 8168 EWU
Jan 3, 2026 IDHO 8481 EWU
Feb 16, 2025 EWU 7573 IDHO
Jan 19, 2025 IDHO 8376 EWU
Feb 11, 2024 EWU 8779 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDHO
Overall 14-19 21-15
Conference 11-7 9-9
Home 8-4 9-4
Away 5-13 7-9
Neutral 1-2 5-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 75.8
Avg Pts Against 79.2 74.1
Massey -0.5 (#170) -0.2 (#166)
Bradley-Terry -0.49 (#226) -0.47 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#208) -0.45 (#205)
RPI 0.476 (#235) 0.472 (#243)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDHO
FG% 47.5% 43.5%
3PT% 36.5% 35.1%
REB / G 32.0 36.0
OREB / G 10.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 51.9%
TOV% 17.7% 15.4%
ORB% 31.3% 28.8%
FT Rate 25.9% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 15.2%
DRB% 69.0% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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