And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · March 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money EWU -162 / IDHO +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual IDHO +4 166 Lost
Massey EWU -2.7 (-6.7) — —
Massey Totals — 155.3 (+10.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -2.8 (-6.8) 152.8 (+13.2) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -3.2 (-7.2) 149.1 (+16.9) 64% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.5 (-7.5) 150.1 (+15.9) 69% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -3.2 (-7.2) 151.8 (+14.2) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 IDHO 81 – 68 EWU
Jan 3, 2026 IDHO 84 – 81 EWU
Feb 16, 2025 EWU 75 – 73 IDHO
Jan 19, 2025 IDHO 83 – 76 EWU
Feb 11, 2024 EWU 87 – 79 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDHO
Overall 14-19 21-15
Conference 11-7 9-9
Home 8-4 9-4
Away 5-13 7-9
Neutral 1-2 5-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 75.8
Avg Pts Against 79.2 74.1
Massey -0.5 (#170) -0.2 (#166)
Bradley-Terry -0.49 (#226) -0.47 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#208) -0.45 (#205)
RPI 0.476 (#235) 0.472 (#243)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDHO
FG% 47.5% 43.5%
3PT% 36.5% 35.1%
REB / G 32.0 36.0
OREB / G 10.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 51.9%
TOV% 17.7% 15.4%
ORB% 31.3% 28.8%
FT Rate 25.9% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 15.2%
DRB% 69.0% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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