I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money EWU -125 / IDHO +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +2 148 Won
Massey EWU -4.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 150.3 (-2.3)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 61%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -3.6 (-1.6) 144.9 (+3.1) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.1 (-1.1) 145.6 (+2.4) 65%
Baseline ML EWU -3.1 (-1.1) 146.5 (+1.5) 63%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -2.7 (-0.7) 146.2 (+1.8) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 IDHO 8168 EWU
Mar 3, 2026 IDHO 8581 EWU
Jan 3, 2026 IDHO 8481 EWU
Jan 19, 2025 IDHO 8376 EWU
Feb 11, 2024 EWU 8779 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDHO
Overall 10-22 14-19
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 8-6 8-6
Away 2-14 5-11
Neutral 0-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 72.1
Avg Pts Against 76.3 76.6
Massey -4.7 (#246) -5.6 (#256)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#290) -0.92 (#255)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#273) -1.19 (#259)
RPI 0.429 (#310) 0.447 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDHO
FG% 45.0% 43.8%
3PT% 32.2% 34.5%
REB / G 30.7 32.3
OREB / G 9.0 9.7
AST / TO 1.00 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 52.1%
TOV% 18.9% 18.1%
ORB% 27.9% 29.0%
FT Rate 23.7% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 16.4%
DRB% 66.1% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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