I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · February 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money EWU -125 / IDHO +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +2 148 Won
Massey EWU -4.0 (-2.0) — —
Massey Totals — 150.3 (-2.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EWU -2.7 (-0.7) 146.2 (+1.8) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -3.6 (-1.6) 144.9 (+3.1) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.1 (-1.1) 145.6 (+2.4) 65% ✓
Baseline ML EWU -3.1 (-1.1) 146.5 (+1.5) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 IDHO 81 – 68 EWU
Mar 3, 2026 IDHO 85 – 81 EWU
Jan 3, 2026 IDHO 84 – 81 EWU
Jan 19, 2025 IDHO 83 – 76 EWU
Feb 11, 2024 EWU 87 – 79 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDHO
Overall 10-22 14-19
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 8-6 8-6
Away 2-14 5-11
Neutral 0-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 72.1
Avg Pts Against 76.3 76.6
Massey -4.7 (#246) -5.6 (#256)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#290) -0.92 (#255)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.40 (#273) -1.19 (#259)
RPI 0.429 (#310) 0.447 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDHO
FG% 45.0% 43.8%
3PT% 32.2% 34.5%
REB / G 30.7 32.3
OREB / G 9.0 9.7
AST / TO 1.00 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 52.1%
TOV% 18.9% 18.1%
ORB% 27.9% 29.0%
FT Rate 23.7% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 16.4%
DRB% 66.1% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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