Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EWU +114 IDHO -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +13 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -1.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -0.2 (-12.8) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.3 (-12.7) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.9 (-12.1) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -1.0 (-12.0) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | IDHO 85 – 81 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IDHO 84 – 81 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | EWU 75 – 73 IDHO |
| Jan 19, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 76 EWU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | EWU 87 – 79 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#227) | -0.26 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#208) | -0.25 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#233) | 0.486 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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