Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -150 EWU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -3.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.7 (+4.3) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -1.8 (+5.2) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -3.3 (+3.7) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -3.3 (+3.7) | 145.0 (+14.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | IDHO 81 – 68 EWU |
| Mar 3, 2026 | IDHO 85 – 81 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IDHO 84 – 81 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | EWU 75 – 73 IDHO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | EWU 87 – 79 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#248) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#260) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#252) | -1.39 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#267) | 0.425 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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