Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -500 NOLA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +18 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -15.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -11.9 (+6.1) | 155.0 (+21.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -10.4 (+7.6) | 153.6 (+22.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -10.5 (+7.5) | 153.6 (+22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -11.6 (+6.4) | 153.7 (+22.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#185) | -12.2 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#222) | -2.15 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#208) | -2.62 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#200) | 0.411 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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