Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +550 AMCC -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +14 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.0 (-6.0) | 148.3 (+31.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.9 (-5.1) | 148.8 (+31.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.5 (-5.5) | 149.6 (+30.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.7 (-5.3) | 149.2 (+30.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Mar 5, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 60 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 0-11 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#343) | 1.3 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#284) | -0.64 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#291) | -0.53 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#239) | 0.464 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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