Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -205 NOLA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -3.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -1.9 (+12.1) | 139.6 (+12.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.0 (+11.0) | 140.0 (+12.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -1.6 (+12.4) | 139.9 (+12.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.1 (+11.9) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
| Mar 5, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 60 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 12-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#196) | -1.8 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#277) | -0.02 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#264) | -0.12 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#178) | 0.523 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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