Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +102 AMCC -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -0.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.3 (+6.3) | 144.6 (+17.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -0.5 (+6.5) | 143.3 (+18.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -0.8 (+5.2) | 141.9 (+20.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.3 (+5.7) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
| Mar 5, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 60 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 13-9 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#219) | -1.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#220) | -0.42 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#212) | -0.21 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#208) | 0.496 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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