Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -2000 NOLA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +33 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -15.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.5 (+20.5) | 145.2 (+11.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -12.3 (+20.7) | 146.5 (+10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -13.3 (+19.7) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -12.8 (+20.2) | 145.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
| Mar 5, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 60 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-2 | 0-11 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#167) | -12.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | -2.51 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#197) | -2.87 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#192) | 0.415 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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