Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -1400 NOLA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -16.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -14.8 (-1.8) | 151.3 (-18.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -13.9 (-0.9) | 149.4 (-16.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -15.1 (-2.1) | 148.8 (-15.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -14.0 (-1.0) | 149.0 (-16.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | -13.9 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#193) | -2.53 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#192) | -3.25 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#164) | 0.398 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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