I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Southland Conference · Hilliard Center · March 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread AMCC -14.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money AMCC -1400 / UNO +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total AMCC win
Actual AMCC +13 133 Won
Massey AMCC -16.0 (-3.0)
Massey Totals 150.2 (-17.2)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML AMCC -13.9 (-0.9) 149.4 (-16.4) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML AMCC -15.1 (-2.1) 148.8 (-15.8) 89%
Baseline ML AMCC -14.0 (-1.0) 149.0 (-16.0) 89%
Baseline Plus ML AMCC -14.8 (-1.8) 151.3 (-18.3) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2026 AMCC 7461 UNO
Feb 10, 2026 UNO 8478 AMCC
Dec 31, 2025 AMCC 8369 UNO
Mar 4, 2025 AMCC 9562 UNO
Jan 7, 2025 AMCC 9783 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AMCC UNO
Overall 21-12 10-23
Conference 14-4 4-14
Home 13-2 7-6
Away 8-7 2-15
Neutral 0-3 1-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.7 70.7
Avg Pts Against 68.9 81.6
Massey -1.1 (#178) -13.9 (#347)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#193) -2.53 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#192) -3.25 (#351)
RPI 0.504 (#164) 0.398 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors AMCC UNO
FG% 42.4% 41.6%
3PT% 30.5% 30.4%
REB / G 38.8 32.9
OREB / G 13.0 10.8
AST / TO 1.09 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 45.9%
TOV% 17.8% 16.8%
ORB% 34.2% 27.9%
FT Rate 26.2% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 19.2%
DRB% 75.3% 65.4%
Opp FT Rate 34.4% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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