Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Away covered |
| Money | GW +150 SLU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -1.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.1 (-4.9) | 154.6 (+0.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.7 (-4.3) | 152.1 (+2.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.9 (-5.1) | 153.4 (+1.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.4 (-4.6) | 154.1 (+0.9) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SLU 88 – 81 GW |
| Jan 28, 2026 | SLU 79 – 76 GW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | GW 67 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SLU 96 – 91 GW |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SLU 80 – 67 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#191) | 4.5 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#223) | 1.14 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#210) | 1.36 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#254) | 0.583 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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