Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | GW -105 SLU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GW -2.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -2.7 (+3.3) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -1.9 (+4.1) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -1.9 (+4.1) | 141.4 (-13.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -2.6 (+3.4) | 142.2 (-14.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SLU 88 – 81 GW |
| Jan 28, 2026 | SLU 79 – 76 GW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SLU 96 – 91 GW |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SLU 81 – 74 GW |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SLU 80 – 67 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | 2.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#161) | 0.63 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#151) | 0.84 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#174) | 0.546 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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