Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -18.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -17.7 (-4.7) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -14.9 (-1.9) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -16.3 (-3.3) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -16.0 (-3.0) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SLU 88 – 81 GW |
| Jan 28, 2026 | SLU 79 – 76 GW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | GW 67 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SLU 96 – 91 GW |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SLU 81 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#51) | -6.1 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#82) | -0.88 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#89) | -1.35 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#73) | 0.455 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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