Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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88–34 on winners spread MAE 8.7 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Purdue +13.9 133.6 88% 55–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +11.9 137.2 88% 51–58 ✓
Siena @ Niagara +0.1 130.5 50% 70–64 ✗
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +8.0 134.4 79% 62–57 ✗
Fairfield @ Iona +15.8 140.1 89% 69–75 ✓
Marist @ Canisius +4.6 134.3 70% 76–58 ✗
Villanova @ Butler +5.2 136.0 70% 71–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +11.9 146.6 88% 67–104 ✓
Michigan State @ Illinois +6.5 138.0 74% 66–75 ✓
VCU @ Dayton +6.2 131.7 73% 63–62 ✗
Utah State @ Nevada +2.7 144.7 64% 70–85 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +15.5 135.6 88% 63–56 ✗
Miami @ NC State +5.6 153.4 71% 81–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +2.4 137.9 62% 76–77 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -4.5 140.2 35% 71–67 ✓
Davidson @ George Mason +5.6 137.2 73% 65–67 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -12.2 133.3 14% 89–54 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern -1.1 130.3 47% 76–55 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Joseph's +2.9 145.2 65% 55–86 ✓
Wisconsin @ Indiana +4.3 138.9 69% 45–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +6.7 128.0 74% 48–62 ✓
Army @ Boston University +1.6 146.1 57% 83–74 ✗
Maine @ UMBC +6.5 151.7 77% 77–85 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire -1.5 141.0 47% 87–81 ✓
Columbia @ Harvard +12.5 130.3 86% 51–73 ✓
Georgia @ Ole Miss +3.1 133.0 63% 62–58 ✗
Western Carolina @ The Citadel -3.5 144.9 40% 61–65 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan +0.1 148.6 51% 92–108 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn -1.4 134.3 42% 79–82 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +0.1 145.2 55% 88–80 ✗
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +4.0 143.1 69% 75–87 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University +7.4 152.4 79% 78–107 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha +0.5 144.9 53% 78–65 ✗
Kansas State @ TCU +2.6 148.2 61% 68–82 ✓
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt -3.9 142.9 35% 84–97 ✗
Providence @ Creighton +5.2 149.0 69% 67–73 ✓
UCF @ Tulane -1.1 148.6 47% 69–77 ✗
Bucknell @ Colgate +12.9 149.5 88% 65–71 ✓
American University @ Lehigh -2.9 137.3 37% 62–78 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic +6.1 129.4 73% 62–66 ✓
North Carolina @ Louisville -13.9 148.4 14% 80–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -7.4 144.2 24% 65–66 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth -4.8 140.6 31% 71–75 ✗
Princeton @ Brown -4.0 134.8 33% 70–72 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +14.2 137.6 88% 54–72 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +3.2 133.6 65% 72–67 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Radford +7.0 143.8 79% 70–75 ✓
Winthrop @ Campbell +4.7 138.8 68% 78–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +11.3 150.6 87% 61–75 ✓
Merrimack @ Stonehill +5.2 129.8 72% 59–47 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +1.5 130.0 57% 66–100 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +8.3 144.8 82% 62–86 ✓
Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T +3.8 136.7 66% 59–61 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +9.4 148.9 84% 72–86 ✓
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure -0.2 132.6 47% 63–71 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -1.7 142.9 44% 71–60 ✓
UTEP @ Rice +4.0 145.0 71% 82–83 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle +0.2 145.2 53% 66–64 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah +4.6 153.1 71% 58–67 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State -9.7 129.3 17% 74–57 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -2.7 130.2 36% 58–61 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver +3.7 143.6 65% 71–78 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland -5.3 157.3 32% 85–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Towson +14.7 134.1 89% 48–68 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +0.8 150.1 53% 70–85 ✓
Missouri @ Florida +3.3 152.6 66% 64–73 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State -1.7 144.8 45% 91–86 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas +6.3 131.8 73% 60–62 ✓
Virginia @ Florida State -10.3 135.6 16% 67–58 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +16.9 149.0 91% 60–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +11.5 155.0 88% 67–71 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M -3.1 131.9 31% 67–54 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.1 135.6 86% 69–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ SMU -4.4 145.1 34% 54–52 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +2.2 139.0 63% 73–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Bethune-Cookman +4.0 138.8 66% 71–77 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State +0.2 153.8 52% 83–66 ✗
Arizona State @ Oregon State -7.3 131.7 22% 74–69 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +6.6 139.7 77% 64–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville +0.8 137.5 50% 76–69 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana Tech -0.7 157.6 47% 81–74 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +7.9 141.1 81% 86–84 ✗
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +0.2 140.1 52% 63–77 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Washington -1.9 153.4 39% 81–74 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +2.7 135.5 65% 68–55 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +5.8 138.1 71% 88–80 ✗
Long Island University @ Saint Francis +12.3 153.4 87% 68–87 ✓
Louisiana @ South Alabama -1.0 142.8 42% 79–76 ✓
Troy @ App State -2.3 134.2 39% 45–58 ✗
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +2.0 144.4 62% 63–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge -11.7 136.6 15% 71–57 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -5.7 136.5 27% 41–61 ✗
LSU @ Alabama +15.5 148.1 88% 66–106 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +9.9 137.6 86% 66–68 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.5 153.6 87% 79–97 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +9.1 151.2 83% 90–81 ✗
Rhode Island @ Massachusetts +5.7 143.3 74% 65–75 ✓
Buffalo @ Central Michigan +1.0 144.1 54% 78–87 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -6.3 156.0 27% 84–67 ✓
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois +2.2 142.3 61% 63–70 ✓
Duke @ Clemson +1.7 142.1 60% 64–72 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +5.0 141.3 73% 72–76 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -4.5 135.0 32% 67–69 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +5.2 141.1 72% 63–72 ✓
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +10.6 134.5 87% 69–67 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.8 124.5 56% 52–56 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +3.9 140.0 66% 79–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +6.7 141.9 80% 56–59 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +6.5 142.4 77% 72–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Jacksonville State -4.0 128.2 30% 68–62 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word -5.4 149.0 26% 75–71 ✓
Lamar @ East Texas A&M +9.4 145.8 84% 66–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +6.0 142.1 75% 58–74 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern -0.1 144.6 51% 79–74 ✓
California @ Washington +7.3 132.8 78% 78–81 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -7.2 137.4 25% 94–53 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +2.9 149.2 68% 74–75 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +8.6 131.0 80% 52–67 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon -3.5 152.1 33% 68–87 ✗
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +4.5 136.5 68% 50–59 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville +11.5 139.5 87% 58–68 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +9.3 148.6 83% 74–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.