I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.4 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +6.2 144.9 74% 59–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse +5.5 140.2 73% 73–78 ✓
UAlbany @ NJIT +2.3 140.8 63% 67–74 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV +6.6 147.8 75% 82–81 ✗
Air Force @ Fresno State +1.2 129.8 55% 51–48 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +10.4 137.6 86% 65–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ High Point +4.8 146.9 68% 56–64 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +8.8 142.6 82% 67–86 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +10.8 143.6 86% 65–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +10.3 139.8 85% 71–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -1.6 136.2 46% 82–64 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -8.6 133.7 16% 74–53 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee +3.4 153.1 70% 78–74 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Liberty +17.2 145.4 91% 62–82 ✓
Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +3.6 148.9 65% 82–85 ✓
Colorado @ UCLA +11.7 135.4 87% 54–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +9.7 147.4 83% 70–72 ✓
Stanford @ Washington State +9.4 138.5 82% 59–60 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +8.7 129.1 81% 57–69 ✓
Bradley @ Drake -1.3 130.1 47% 61–86 ✗
Wake Forest @ Boston College -3.5 146.0 33% 85–63 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +7.6 140.8 76% 85–80 ✗
St. Thomas @ Oral Roberts +11.6 157.1 87% 69–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ Kansas City +5.2 138.3 73% 60–52 ✗
Mississippi State @ Auburn +5.9 130.5 74% 63–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana +2.7 156.3 65% 66–80 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +6.3 146.3 75% 76–67 ✗
UT Arlington @ New Mexico State +9.1 136.0 84% 66–55 ✗
Sam Houston @ Utah Tech -4.5 143.6 32% 78–53 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific -3.8 151.3 32% 92–81 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +8.8 148.9 82% 81–91 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +4.5 139.7 72% 55–84 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +13.4 159.5 88% 75–115 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -2.4 131.8 41% 74–79 ✗
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +8.7 155.0 82% 84–98 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +6.8 135.0 77% 65–64 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State +4.8 157.2 71% 69–67 ✗
Utah @ USC +2.7 135.7 63% 56–71 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming -7.8 135.9 22% 85–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco -7.2 135.1 26% 78–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +5.2 141.3 74% 70–79 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +12.7 155.6 87% 85–74 ✗
Marquette @ Xavier +3.3 163.1 65% 76–80 ✓
Marist @ Niagara +4.1 127.8 66% 66–64 ✗
Siena @ Canisius -4.2 139.8 30% 62–66 ✗
Northwestern @ Michigan +2.5 136.9 60% 78–85 ✓
South Florida @ East Carolina +1.8 138.8 59% 81–70 ✗
Rider @ Iona +12.2 142.5 87% 70–67 ✗
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +0.3 128.7 50% 56–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -5.5 133.5 26% 58–51 ✓
Ohio State @ Rutgers +4.4 133.3 72% 64–68 ✓
Memphis @ Temple -3.4 149.0 36% 61–59 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +0.1 139.0 53% 62–64 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +4.1 148.9 68% 67–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.