With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–6 on winners spread MAE 7.9 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cornell @ Columbia -13.2 148.0 13% 102–85 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +11.5 145.1 87% 73–77 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +0.1 137.7 50% 47–68 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +9.4 131.8 83% 60–59 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle +1.2 146.6 57% 71–59 ✗
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +2.4 150.3 63% 51–54 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State -1.5 132.3 36% 64–63 ✓
UTEP @ Charlotte +9.1 130.9 79% 60–58 ✗
George Washington @ George Mason +6.5 143.4 77% 78–75 ✗
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +3.3 143.5 63% 69–61 ✗
William & Mary @ Charleston +12.8 144.5 88% 54–82 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Florida A&M -0.3 128.7 46% 59–60 ✗
Brown @ Yale +10.7 134.4 86% 78–81 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +16.6 144.9 90% 62–87 ✓
Illinois @ Minnesota -9.7 136.5 17% 78–60 ✓
Delaware @ Northeastern +0.9 138.7 54% 58–59 ✓
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -3.6 137.5 35% 78–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.