Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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91–33 on winners spread MAE 8.3 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Princeton @ Columbia -10.1 135.3 17% 68–49 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +7.0 155.4 79% 69–88 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +17.0 132.8 90% 81–77 ✗
Harvard @ Brown +0.2 128.5 49% 70–68 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Siena +9.5 135.3 86% 60–70 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Rider +1.1 142.0 54% 72–63 ✗
Iona @ Marist -12.9 139.3 15% 84–57 ✓
Canisius @ Manhattan -1.4 147.2 42% 64–57 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +0.6 124.7 51% 77–69 ✗
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +5.4 139.3 72% 64–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +1.7 153.6 59% 85–90 ✓
Akron @ Ball State +4.8 138.8 71% 63–70 ✓
Stanford @ California -6.0 130.4 29% 70–92 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +12.3 149.2 88% 64–81 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +9.6 145.4 83% 60–69 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State +2.5 141.8 59% 56–46 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Missouri +10.0 155.2 83% 82–85 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +10.9 157.0 86% 80–83 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota -4.2 129.5 32% 81–79 ✓
Davidson @ VCU +4.8 138.4 73% 72–89 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +6.7 151.2 77% 62–80 ✓
Kentucky @ Alabama +9.2 158.6 82% 52–78 ✓
Duke @ Boston College -9.2 134.0 18% 65–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Florida State -1.9 143.4 39% 64–75 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +6.2 137.7 73% 75–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson +13.5 154.1 88% 89–101 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.3 144.7 77% 74–70 ✗
Wisconsin @ Illinois +4.3 135.4 66% 69–79 ✓
Iowa State @ TCU +3.8 133.4 66% 69–67 ✗
Tulane @ Temple +1.9 146.6 61% 87–76 ✗
East Carolina @ Memphis +10.6 145.3 86% 59–69 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa -1.7 129.9 39% 57–69 ✗
UIC @ Indiana State +12.2 146.9 87% 60–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -1.4 136.3 45% 69–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +10.5 132.1 84% 67–71 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +15.5 157.6 90% 73–95 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +5.7 128.1 71% 54–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Fordham +5.7 146.7 75% 54–66 ✓
Rhode Island @ La Salle +0.5 141.7 53% 75–77 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +10.1 137.7 84% 75–86 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Washington -0.2 146.9 47% 73–81 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb +3.3 128.4 67% 63–59 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +0.7 143.6 51% 67–61 ✗
Campbell @ UNC Asheville +5.2 140.4 72% 55–58 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +11.9 149.7 87% 78–85 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan -1.5 147.5 43% 56–62 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Stonehill +4.4 139.2 70% 49–51 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +3.3 141.8 64% 61–73 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -2.2 135.1 42% 60–59 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +18.2 148.3 91% 74–105 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -7.1 144.0 23% 66–61 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +14.4 130.2 89% 35–67 ✓
Hofstra @ William & Mary -4.3 138.9 31% 75–62 ✓
Hartford @ Sacred Heart +13.3 136.7 87% 71–78 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +4.2 139.5 69% 53–59 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +16.2 131.0 89% 66–88 ✓
Wake Forest @ Louisville -10.4 145.0 16% 80–72 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +5.1 139.1 73% 58–60 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin +1.2 138.2 55% 68–73 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Arlington -2.9 134.4 36% 76–61 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -0.4 148.4 50% 57–76 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Merrimack +1.2 122.5 57% 53–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe -8.9 136.6 16% 65–60 ✓
Texas State @ South Alabama +4.1 129.3 68% 64–58 ✗
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +1.8 128.7 59% 81–75 ✗
Denver @ Western Illinois +1.9 146.8 60% 74–91 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +4.4 136.0 68% 59–69 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +13.2 130.6 89% 77–82 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -14.8 129.8 13% 85–42 ✓
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -13.1 143.8 13% 69–66 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +13.8 149.4 87% 66–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Morgan State +0.1 146.9 48% 73–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -0.9 139.5 42% 66–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State +7.0 163.7 79% 73–85 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +4.1 145.9 69% 75–74 ✗
Western Kentucky @ UTSA -1.0 146.9 47% 74–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +5.6 142.5 75% 46–57 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +5.4 142.9 73% 55–78 ✓
Nevada @ San José State +0.8 135.5 55% 67–40 ✗
Winthrop @ Longwood +13.0 147.0 87% 71–85 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State -3.0 143.8 35% 70–56 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro +3.5 134.2 70% 70–68 ✗
Mercer @ Western Carolina +1.0 140.9 57% 45–73 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +4.7 138.1 72% 68–63 ✗
Northeastern @ Hampton -2.8 142.0 35% 79–63 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -6.5 128.9 23% 62–57 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -4.6 141.5 34% 69–54 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming -8.5 139.8 20% 80–75 ✓
Xavier @ Villanova -1.3 148.1 41% 88–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Howard +7.2 135.9 77% 64–84 ✓
Lamar @ SE Louisiana +12.1 146.9 88% 84–89 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State +2.5 145.0 63% 48–68 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +1.4 143.1 56% 82–80 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +4.8 130.5 69% 57–79 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +5.1 146.9 72% 84–80 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock -2.3 153.8 39% 74–68 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +1.5 145.9 54% 60–57 ✗
Washington State @ Arizona +13.0 153.0 87% 74–61 ✗
Syracuse @ Virginia +11.6 132.1 86% 66–73 ✓
Delaware @ Charleston +14.3 150.1 88% 64–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +4.8 141.3 70% 76–89 ✓
Missouri State @ Belmont +1.0 138.1 56% 61–74 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green -0.9 148.0 49% 79–88 ✗
Arkansas State @ Troy +11.7 133.3 87% 54–66 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho +1.5 152.9 58% 74–58 ✗
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +3.3 143.5 68% 75–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville +4.5 131.8 71% 44–51 ✓
Houston Christian @ LSU New Orleans +6.2 156.9 72% 59–82 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -7.4 145.2 24% 80–71 ✓
Tarleton State @ Sam Houston +11.9 137.0 87% 68–75 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +6.5 147.7 77% 62–86 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia +2.3 146.2 53% 76–62 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +2.9 150.5 64% 97–95 ✗
Alabama State @ Jackson State +3.4 144.8 65% 58–61 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +3.2 150.5 68% 75–68 ✗
Murray State @ Drake +5.2 134.7 72% 64–82 ✓
North Texas @ Middle Tennessee -1.9 126.3 39% 56–51 ✓
Dartmouth @ Brown +7.1 129.8 77% 70–77 ✓
LSU @ Texas A&M +2.6 140.4 61% 56–69 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +2.1 138.3 63% 73–75 ✓
Florida A&M @ Southern +13.7 139.1 88% 66–84 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +13.7 136.7 89% 70–76 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +1.2 139.8 55% 59–82 ✓
Towson @ Stony Brook -3.4 129.9 34% 67–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.