Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -250 ISU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -3.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.0 (-5.0) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -4.7 (-6.7) | 134.6 (+1.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.8 (-5.8) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.7 (-5.7) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | TCU 62 – 55 ISU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ISU 82 – 52 TCU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ISU 71 – 59 TCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ISU 73 – 72 TCU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | ISU 70 – 59 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#34) | 12.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#9) | 2.70 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.56 (#4) | 3.17 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#73) | 0.595 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 30.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.