Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TCU +270 ISU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +7 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -10.1 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -7.4 (+14.4) | 147.0 (-30.0) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.7 (+14.7) | 145.2 (-28.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -7.2 (+14.2) | 146.2 (-29.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -8.1 (+15.1) | 146.1 (-29.1) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | ISU 82 – 52 TCU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ISU 71 – 59 TCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ISU 73 – 72 TCU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | ISU 70 – 59 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ISU 69 – 67 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#50) | 24.3 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#58) | 4.21 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#54) | 5.12 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#100) | 0.640 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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