Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -225 DAV +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -5.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.6 (+12.4) | 140.0 (+21.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.1 (+12.9) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.8 (+12.2) | 138.4 (+22.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.7 (+12.3) | 138.9 (+22.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#137) | 0.9 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#112) | 0.45 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | 0.83 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#112) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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