Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DAV +145 VCU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -2.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -2.4 (+0.4) | 135.6 (-15.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -1.4 (-0.6) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.6 (+0.6) | 135.1 (-15.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -2.9 (+0.9) | 135.9 (-15.9) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Jan 7, 2023 | VCU 89 – 72 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | 6.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#180) | 1.21 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#147) | 1.27 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#153) | 0.574 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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