Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -1800 DAV +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -15.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -15.0 (+9.0) | 139.4 (-3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -14.2 (+9.8) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -14.3 (+9.7) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -13.9 (+10.1) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 7, 2023 | VCU 89 – 72 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#34) | 1.7 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#54) | 0.17 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#44) | 0.45 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#33) | 0.504 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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