Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -111 VCU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.8 (-6.8) | 137.4 (-16.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -0.9 (-5.9) | 137.4 (-16.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.5 (-6.5) | 137.3 (-16.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.4 (-6.4) | 138.8 (-17.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 7, 2023 | VCU 89 – 72 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 5.9 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#111) | 0.85 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#108) | 1.19 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#116) | 0.541 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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