Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DAV +195 VCU -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -5.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.1 (-1.9) | 143.9 (+0.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.1 (-1.9) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.3 (-1.7) | 143.1 (+0.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.6 (-2.4) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 7, 2023 | VCU 89 – 72 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#139) | 11.1 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#110) | 1.68 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#119) | 2.57 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#100) | 0.573 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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