Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -345 DAV +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.7 (+13.3) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.1 (+13.9) | 131.8 (-7.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.3 (+12.7) | 134.8 (-10.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.2 (+12.8) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 7, 2023 | VCU 89 – 72 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#77) | 1.8 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#56) | 0.26 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#63) | 0.60 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#29) | 0.517 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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