Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +100 URI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -1.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -1.0 (+1.0) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.1 (+3.1) | 138.8 (+13.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.5 (+1.5) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.0 (+2.0) | 142.4 (+9.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#286) | -3.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#251) | -0.84 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#281) | -0.89 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#243) | 0.483 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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