Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -800 HART +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -17.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -12.4 (-5.4) | 136.5 (+12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -11.0 (-4.0) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -13.3 (-6.3) | 136.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -13.2 (-6.2) | 136.2 (+12.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2022 | SHU 77 – 70 HART |
| Dec 22, 2021 | HART 78 – 71 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 0-0 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-11 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#310) | -21.4 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#306) | -3.59 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#316) | -4.62 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#319) | 0.326 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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