Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | SHU -250 HART +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -7.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.8 (-12.8) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.0 (-11.0) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -6.2 (-13.2) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.8 (-12.8) | 149.3 (-0.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2023 | SHU 78 – 71 HART |
| Nov 9, 2022 | SHU 77 – 70 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#261) | -8.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#291) | -2.79 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#316) | -3.46 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#268) | 0.339 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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