Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -188 MICH +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +6 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -4.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -3.9 (+2.1) | 141.0 (-29.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -3.6 (+2.4) | 136.1 (-24.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -4.2 (+1.8) | 139.5 (-27.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -4.2 (+1.8) | 139.9 (-27.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MICH 90 – 80 MSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MICH 83 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MSU 79 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MSU 75 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MSU 73 – 63 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#70) | 7.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#50) | 1.13 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#59) | 2.05 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#39) | 0.553 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.