Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU +150 OHIO -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -1.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -0.9 (+9.9) | 148.0 (+19.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -2.9 (+11.9) | 150.8 (+16.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.3 (+10.3) | 151.1 (+15.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -0.9 (+9.9) | 149.9 (+17.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#240) | 1.8 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#262) | 0.28 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#268) | 0.51 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#298) | 0.507 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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