Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO +110 BGSU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -6.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.0 (-6.0) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -3.2 (-6.8) | 145.6 (-19.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -5.4 (-4.6) | 147.7 (-21.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.8 (-5.2) | 145.2 (-19.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | BGSU 88 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#210) | 7.4 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#152) | 0.41 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#141) | 1.03 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#131) | 0.512 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.