Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -400 BGSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -7.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -6.2 (+0.8) | 146.6 (-21.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -7.7 (-0.7) | 147.0 (-22.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.5 (+0.5) | 149.1 (-24.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.0 (+1.0) | 147.2 (-22.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | BGSU 88 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -4.0 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#180) | -0.21 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#170) | -0.41 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#205) | 0.479 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.