Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU +110 OHIO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -3.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -2.7 (+2.3) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BGSU -1.3 (+3.7) | 146.3 (+14.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BGSU -2.8 (+2.2) | 145.1 (+15.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.6 (+2.4) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | BGSU 88 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#216) | -1.6 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -0.75 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#185) | -0.79 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#213) | 0.441 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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