Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -450 BGSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +34 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -10.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.4 (+23.6) | 155.1 (-5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -10.7 (+23.3) | 153.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -11.6 (+22.4) | 157.3 (-7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -10.5 (+23.5) | 156.8 (-6.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Jan 7, 2023 | BGSU 88 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#140) | -5.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#165) | -1.38 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#173) | -1.55 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#159) | 0.427 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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