Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU +160 OHIO -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -4.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -4.2 (-0.8) | 151.4 (+15.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -3.0 (-2.0) | 152.4 (+14.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.3 (-0.7) | 153.2 (+13.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.4 (-0.6) | 151.7 (+15.3) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | BGSU 88 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#300) | -0.6 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#320) | -0.19 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#325) | -0.48 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#332) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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