Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -900 LAM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -16.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -12.6 (-7.6) | 147.3 (+25.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -11.7 (-6.7) | 144.6 (+28.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -12.1 (-7.1) | 146.9 (+26.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -13.5 (-8.5) | 147.2 (+25.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#259) | -17.3 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#247) | -3.00 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#262) | -4.43 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#293) | 0.347 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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