Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -135 LAM +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -3.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.2 (-0.2) | 134.2 (+25.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -1.4 (+0.6) | 134.7 (+25.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.3 (-0.3) | 133.4 (+26.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.4 (-0.4) | 135.0 (+25.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SELA 83 – 60 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#196) | -2.1 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#222) | -0.47 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#214) | 0.489 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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