Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -200 LAM +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -0.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.3 (-5.3) | 146.7 (+2.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.8 (-5.8) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.4 (-5.4) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.1 (-5.1) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SELA 83 – 60 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#283) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#258) | -0.94 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#284) | -0.98 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#225) | 0.462 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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