Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -285 SELA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +19 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -7.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.7 (+13.3) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -6.4 (+12.6) | 132.5 (-5.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.4 (+13.6) | 134.0 (-7.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -5.5 (+13.5) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SELA 83 – 60 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#195) | -6.3 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#235) | -1.65 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#229) | -1.92 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#263) | 0.413 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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