Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -200 SELA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -8.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -6.2 (+3.8) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.8 (+5.2) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.9 (+4.1) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -6.0 (+4.0) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | SELA 60 – 52 LAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SELA 83 – 60 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#230) | -8.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#264) | -1.58 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#246) | -2.13 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#272) | 0.431 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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