Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SELA +105 LAM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.2 (+8.2) | 134.8 (-22.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.1 (+7.9) | 135.3 (-23.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.0 (+8.0) | 134.2 (-22.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.3 (+8.3) | 135.1 (-23.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | LAM 73 – 54 SELA |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SELA 81 – 79 LAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | LAM 77 – 72 SELA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | LAM 74 – 64 SELA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SELA 83 – 60 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 7-15 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#261) | -3.0 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#323) | -0.96 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#322) | -1.21 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#302) | 0.432 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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