Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -1600 ECU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -13.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -9.7 (+0.3) | 147.0 (-19.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -11.5 (-1.5) | 143.3 (-15.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.6 (-0.6) | 145.3 (-17.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.9 (-0.9) | 145.6 (-17.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ECU 84 – 68 MEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MEM 74 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MEM 82 – 58 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MEM 71 – 54 ECU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ECU 72 – 71 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#58) | -0.3 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#56) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#50) | 0.38 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#29) | 0.490 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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