Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -1400 ECU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -19.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -14.6 (-10.6) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -13.7 (-9.7) | 146.3 (-2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -16.0 (-12.0) | 146.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -16.4 (-12.4) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ECU 84 – 68 MEM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MEM 82 – 58 ECU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MEM 69 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MEM 71 – 54 ECU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ECU 72 – 71 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 11-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#34) | -1.6 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#12) | -0.62 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#14) | -0.92 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.709 (#2) | 0.466 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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