Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -6.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -4.0 (+5.0) | 153.5 (-10.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.7 (+6.7) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -3.8 (+4.8) | 152.0 (-9.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -4.9 (+5.9) | 152.3 (-9.3) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ECU 84 – 68 MEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MEM 74 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | MEM 82 – 58 ECU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MEM 69 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | MEM 71 – 54 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#159) | 10.4 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#116) | 1.16 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#130) | 2.21 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#130) | 0.561 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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