Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +120 NEB -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -4.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.3 (+2.3) | 129.8 (+30.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.5 (+2.5) | 131.5 (+28.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -4.2 (+2.2) | 129.5 (+30.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -4.3 (+2.3) | 130.7 (+29.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#237) | 5.5 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#234) | 1.08 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#267) | 1.55 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#221) | 0.556 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 11.5% |
Game Analysis
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