Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -300 MINN +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -5.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.0 (+11.0) | 147.6 (-19.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -5.9 (+12.1) | 148.3 (-20.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -7.3 (+10.7) | 146.8 (-18.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -6.7 (+11.3) | 147.4 (-19.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2023 | NEB 78 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 18-1 | 16-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#46) | 8.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#38) | 1.27 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#31) | 1.76 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#49) | 0.519 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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